中国会带什么去哥本哈根的谈判桌呢? | China’s plan for Copenhagen
Posted on 06. Dec, 2009 by Fontane Lau in China
See English below…
Way to Copenhagen - Finally reaching there
中国会带什么去哥本哈根的谈判桌呢?
近日，中国发表了愿意于2020年达至降低碳强度40-45% (对比2005年水平)。中国这个决定是正面的，因为她向世界提供了一个方向及数字。中国所用的基准是碳强度，是独特的，有分析认为是适合发展中国家的一个减排量度方法，因为这不是一个绝对的减排百分比，而是每一个国民生产总值会带来多少碳排。
西方报导认为这个减少碳强度的目标对中国而言不是很具挑战性，另一边厢，中国前气候变化谈判代表、现任中国人民大学环境学院副院长邹骥认为中国所提出的目标其实会为本土带来沉重的代价，因为在未来10年间，中国每年要投放300亿美元去投资在减排工作上，换成每户要负的代价的话，每户人家每年要承担64美元。
世界自然基金会全球气候变化应对计划主任杨富强说道，中国要减排的话，除了要进行节能的工作以为，还可以考虑增加清洁能源的比例，例如是水力发电方面的投资也可以有助达至减排目标。
邹骥在公开报告时续说，排放权跟发展权息息相关，所以他预期中国会在哥本哈根会议上面坚持保护排放权的目标。
Lately, China has announced that they will reduce the carbon intensity by 40-45% by 2020, against 2005 levels. It is a good sign that China has finally made her plan explicit, and it’s always good to have numbers. China is using its unique way of measurement “Carbon Intensity” – which stands for the amount of carbon dioxide emitted for each unit of GDP, which is not an absolute carbon reduction figure, unlike what other developed nations are required to take up reduction target based on 1990 levels (as suggested by IPCC, though some countries may use other base years that create more confusion).
Some may doubt that China may achieve the carbon intensity cut rather easily, but indeed according to the study conducted by the former Chinese negotiator Zou Ji (邹骥), who’s now the deputy dean of the School of Environment and Natural Resources, Renmin University of China. In the study, it estimates that in the next decade, China has to invest US$30 billion every year, when translating to cost per household, every household has to bear US$64 every year.
According to Dr. Yang Fuqiang, Director of Global Climate Initiative of WWF, he believe that in order to reduce carbon emission, the investment should not be focused on improving energy saving, but also rising the ratio of clean energy like hydro power, will also achieve emission reduction.
Zou Ji further speculates that the right to emit is equivalent to the right to develop, and he put further that China will strive for its best to protect the right to emit in the Copenhagen Climate Conference.