Chris Wright

15 July, 2015

Are you ready for the Renewable Revolution?

Watch the Hangout Here https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KNd_i3i7tg

Watch the Hangout: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6KNd_i3i7tg

“Last year, for the first time in 40 years, economic and emissions growth have decoupled” - Christine Lins, Executive Secretary REN21.

This was the message that has stuck in my head ever since I sat down, and discussed renewable energy with some of the world’s leading experts in the field. And the reality is remarkable.

While we have had ongoing global economic growth Christine eagerly stated that, “emissions have remained stable since 2013”. She further added that this is “largely due to growing Renewable energy development in China and investment in other OECD countries”

While there may be many who continue to double the power of non-fossil fuel energy, Christine noted that, “renewables are in fact providing lion shares of electricity around the world”.

For example, 39 per cent of all electricity demand in Denmark is currently provided by wind energy. This is followed by 27 per cent in Portugal and, while you may not believe it, 21 per cent of all energy in Nicaragua is also provided purely by wind energy.

Wind Turbines in Denmark

Wind Turbines in Denmark

This was shocking to me, as I come from a country where our Prime Minister has publicly stated his hatred for Wind turbines and is actively trying to destroy the industry in Australia.

However, I am sure it wasn’t for Sarah Azau who has acted as the European Wind Energy Association’s Communication’s head for the last decade. Here, she highlighted in fact that it is not just political support, but “popular support” that is driving the renewable energy revolution.

“There was a survey done last year showing that wind energy was the UK’s favourite form of energy, and there was further studies showing that for people who live near a wind farm, their approval of the wind farms go up even further”

She also drew on her experience, noting that “If you look back 10 years ago, Renewable energies were providing 3 per cent of global energy, and now, they provide something close to 22 per cent, so that has really sky-rocketed”

“10 years ago…there were also only about 50 countries around the world who had renewable energy policies in place, so that’s really quite remarkable as well”

In fact, there are now 164 countries all around the world have renewable energy targets, and 145 of these are infact backed up with detailed policies.

Source: REN21 10 Year Status report

Source: REN21 10 Year Status report

When later asked about a “great example of a renewable energy policy that has driven renewable energy investment, Sarah replied that it was “the EU policy is a good example”…it set a binding target of 20 per cent renewable energy by 2020 across the EU. These targets are binding, but each member state has their own target that they are all moving towards. This builds in not only a legally binding target that countries have to move towards, but also the flexibility that is needed to balance each country’s baseline.

Policies such as these have ushered in a global renewable energy investment boom, with more than 270 billion dollars now being pumped into renewables from different countries, with over half of this investment coming from developing countries.

As such, while the biggest countries to add to their renewable energy stockpiles continue to be the big names in Renewables - China, USA, UK, Japan and Germany. However, the true “champions” of the renewable energy story may in fact be a countries you may never have thought of - like Burundi.

When comparing renewable energy investment against GDP, there is no-one better than Burundi. But they are closely followed by a list of countries that may not have expected. In fact, close behind is Kenya, Honduras, Jordan and Uruguay.

This collection highlights not only global interest, but diversity of renewable energy champions that deserve far greater national and international recognition.

Considering that Christine was able to remind us that “the world leaders have committed to doubling the share of renewables in the global energy mix by 2030,” it is clear that renewable energy champions such as Burundi and Honduras will be critical elements of a global energy revolution over the next 15 years.

As Santiago Ortega blankly said, “It’s the dawn of renewables right now. This is the time for every developing country to start to take advantage of it”.

He also reflected on his career as a Renewable Energy professor at the Antioquia Engineering School in Colombia that, “a couple of years ago (in Colombia) the people who were talking about Renewables in the lecture halls were Hippies, but now, the ones talking about renewables are the ones driving large investments in energy”.

Ritwajit Das, a Renewable Energy and Sustainability Expert from India continued on this theme noting that “things are really heating up here in India around renewables”. He then began to list some of India’s own plans to invest in renewables in a big way.

“By 2020, India plans to install up to 2500 MW of Biomass energy… 20,000 MW of Solar and 39,000 MW of Wind energy”.

As Laura Williamson, the Advocacy manager at REN21 noted, this report has “become a benchmark that people refer to”.

As advocates, Laura recommended we “tell the story with images” that can help us relay these messages to a broader public. However, she also recommended that Climate Trackers “tap into our network, which includes more than 500 renewable energy experts around the world”.

Once we do, its then our job to “tell the positive story…particularly in the narrative of Sustainable energy for all”. This is a particularly important framing which not only highlights the many co-benefits of renewable energy, but also brings it back to the key question of energy access.

“The story that needs to be told better by people on the ground is how renewables can help expand energy access around the world”

You could also include the fact that 7.7 million jobs were created around the world in 2014 from Renewable Energy alone

Source: IRENA Renewable Jobs 2015

 

One critical element in play however is our ability to tell this story. It cannot be driven by politicians alone. It is a story that must be told as if it were the American constitution - by the people, for the people and of the people.

Are you one of them?

About The Author

Chris Wright

Climate researcher, political ecologist, activist and an award-winning slam poet from Australia.

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  • RobinGuenier

    I’m sorry, Chris, but this report is seriously misleading. For example:

    ‘Christine noted that, “renewables are in fact providing lion shares of electricity around the world”.

    Well it’s true that renewables supply about 22% of global electricity (not global energy as Sarah Azau claimed) . But most of that (17%) comes from hydroelectric power that, as you know, has huge environmental disadvantages. Contrary to the impression given here, wind and solar contribute hardly anything: 2% and less than 1% respectively. Hardly the lion’s share. And that’s after investments in wind and solar of over $1,000 bn. over the last 10 years. Incidentally, in 1980 renewables (i.e. hydroelectric power) supplied 25% of global electricity - so, far from skyrocketing, the renewable share is decreasing.

    The reality is that wind and solar power today contribute less than 2% to the global primary energy mix. So, if Christine’s reminder that ‘the world leaders have committed to doubling the share of renewables … by 2030’ turns out to be accurate, their contribution in 15 years time would still be less than 4%. Not such a positive story I’m afraid.

    Data sources:
    http://www.tsp-data-portal.org/Breakdown-of-Electricity-Generation-by-Energy-Source#tspQvChart
    http://fs-unep-centre.org/sites/default/files/attachments/14008nef_visual_12_key_findings.pdf

  • http://www.joshuawiese.com Joshua Wiese

    According to REN21’s latest report, the breakdown of installed renewable energy capacity is quite different than what you’ve conveyed. We have more than 1700 GW of hydro; and 560 GW of wind, solar and geothermal. Still a long way to go, but with record growth last year (at 8.5%), we’re moving in the right direction.

    Furthermore, the 25% share of global electricity you cited attributed to hydro in 1980 is misleading. Our Hydro capacity, social and environmental issues notwithstanding, is also on the rise. In 2004, we had approximate 715 GW compared to today’s 1700+. The rise of fossil fuels has indeed outpaced the rise of renewables over the last 30 years, but investment patterns identified in the REN21 report and the UNEP report that you cited show promising signs of a profound shift toward the end of the fossil fuel era.

  • RobinGuenier

    Good afternoon Joshua.

    Those REN21 figures are rather different from mine - in that they indicate that wind and solar are doing worse than I suggested. Here’s why:

    Geothermal represents about half of non-hydro renewables. Therefore, the installed capacity of wind/solar power would be about 280 GW. But - and this is especially true of wind and solar - installed capacity and actual electricity generation are two very different things. For example, 1 GW of solar capacity in Germany produces less than 20% of the electricity of fossil fuel capacity - and barely 10% of nuclear capacity. The reason is its non-dispatchability (intermittency). Let’s be generous and assume for wind and solar that their electricity generation is 30% of their installed capacity. That would bring the 280 GW down to 84 GW. Assuming hydro’s generation is 85% of capacity (it’s probably better) the 1700 GW would produce 1445 GW of actual power. And 84 GW is only 5.8% of 1445 GW - considerably less than my figures indicated.

    My 25% renewable share of global electricity in 1980 was accurate. Yes, hydro has been growing (although it’s probably close to its peak now) but so has overall electricity generation - and, unlike hydro, that growth is massive and is set to continue.

    The big question is will wind and solar be able to meet the increasing demand. The indications are not good. It’s true of course that investments in these sources have been huge - my link indicated more than $1 trillion over the last 10 years. Some sources say it’s nearly $2 trillion. But, despite all this, wind and solal account for only about 2.8% of global electricity generation - i.e. little more than 1% of primary energy. Hardy “promising” I’m afraid. Hence Bill Gates’ recent comment that the cost of using current renewables to produce the world’s power would be “beyond astronomical”: http://www.theregister.co.uk/2015/06/26/gates_renewable_energy_cant_do_the_job_gov_should_switch_green_subsidies_into_rd/

    It seems we’ll be stuck in the fossil fuel era for many more years.

  • Npong Balikawu Francis

    @RobinGuenier:disqus but whichever level were are, the fact that world leaders are accepting renewable energy and ready to play the “game” is a breakthrough though a dream that maybe far to reach in a shorter possible time. What matters is the awareness that has been created on the concept of renewable energy. Your argument maybe valid but the progress is what we are actually looking at.

  • RobinGuenier

    The problem, Npong, is that there’s a growing awareness that “the concept of renewable energy” is inadequate to meet society’s needs. And Bill Gates is not the only influential person saying this. Here, for example, is James Hansen - arguably the father of modern climate science:

    “Can renewable energies provide all of society’s energy needs in the foreseeable future? It is conceivable in a few places, such as New Zealand and Norway. But suggesting that renewables will let us phase rapidly off fossil fuels in the United States, China, India, or the world as a whole is almost the equivalent of believing in the Easter Bunny and Tooth Fairy.”

    http://www.columbia.edu/~jeh1/mailings/2011/20110729_BabyLauren.pdf

  • RobinGuenier

    Joshua: as I’ve found before, TCK is not very good at this sort of analysis. But you are good at tracking the progress (if that’s the right word) of negotiations. Why not stick to that? And where incidentally is your analysis of or comment on the new ‘streamlined’ negotiating text just realised by the UN?