Weekly Fresh Air Brief: September 19th

WHAT GCCA PARTNERS & PEERS ARES WORKING ON

Your (fresh air) brief guide to the People’s Climate March & Mobilization
It’s going to be a world-changing weekend. Globally over 2000 events in more than 160 countries are scheduled as part of the People’s Climate March and Mobilization on September 21st - with the largest event in New York expected to bring together upwards of 100,000 people demanding leaders take action in advance of the UN Climate Leaders Summit taking place two days later. Ban Ki-moon, who convened the UN summit, also plans on joining the masses in the streets. Here are just a few highlights from those thousands of events happening around the world:

  • In rural Papua New Guinea, students from a primary school will march to a nearby lighthouse which has recently become semi-submerged due to rising sea levels.

  • The border between Vancouver and Seattle will be the location of a truly international rally where thousands of people will link hands across the boundary line to show that climate change knows no borders.

  • In Lagos, plans are underway for a historic climate march through the streets of Africa’s largest city. They will be joined by solidarity events in rural areas throughout Nigeria.

  • In Tanzania, the Maasai plan to march calling for action from their ancient homelands in the Serengeti.

  • In London environment organisations and faith groups are combining forces to create what will be a historic march through the city to the steps of Parliament.

  • In Rio, thousands are expected to march on the beaches of Ipanema, while images will be broadcast on the statue of Christ the Redeemer in the week building up to the march.

  • In Australia, an epic Climate March will convene in Melbourne afterwards a group will walk 700 km along the eastern seaboard to the nation’s capital Canberra arriving at the Parliament, to raise awareness about climate impacts.

  • In Bogota, Colombia, over 10,000 people are expected to join the march through the capital calling for action.

  • In New Delhi, thousands will take over the streets on September 20 to demand a renewable energy revolution.

  • In Berlin, a silent parade, a stream of cyclists and a march for children will converge on the Brandenburg gate.

  • In Paris, local groups will create the “Paris Marche pour le Climat,” with parades, marches, and bicycle rides planned across the bridges of the Seine.

For background information, my colleagues produced three separate Tree Alerts and will publish more as events unfold over the course of the week. There a fantastic documentary on how and why it all came together. You can follow events live on social media via #peoplesclimate. And our friends at Avaaz and 350.org are aggregating stories, photos and videos from around the world here.

Your (fresh air) brief guide to the Climate Leaders Summit
More than 125 Heads of State and Government are slated to attend the one-day Climate Leaders Summithosted by UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon on September 23rd; joined by business and civil society leaders. All of the attendees are expected to bring commitments advancing action on the ground that will reduce emissions and build resilience to the impacts of climate change. While those commitments will pale in comparison the scale of the climate challenge, action is only part of the event’s purpose. The Climate Group’s Damian Ryan sums up the other part well:

“The New York summit is really a “soft power” process, aimed at building the political confidence for more substantive action at the UN Climate Conference in Paris in December 2015 …[The Summit] is about injecting political confidence into this broader process, which has been bedevilled for years by a focus on the costs of tackling climate change and the “burden sharing” this implied.”

WRI hosted a series of excellent press briefings in the last week: tapping civil society experts to help set expectations for the big event; and government leaders to connect the Summit to the bigger picture geopolitical climate challenge. There are a number of good blog posts on how to measure the summit’s overall success, from specifics on climate finance (here and here) to what’s in it for cities.

While not everyone is happy about the prominent role of business in the Summit, the event is already starting to play the catalytic role intended in its design. Earlier this week we saw the launch of the New Climate Economy report, expanding the foundation of this new narrative for action. The report confirmed that tackling climate change is affordable and laid out how the transition to a low carbon society could mean more jobs, better health, increased business productivity and improved quality of life around the world.

You can follow the UN Climate Leaders Summit online. Proceedings will be broadcast live, images posted throughout the day, and official UN press releases will be posted here. Watch #climate2014 on social media. We’re also planning on a Tree Alert to capture views from our partners.

Your (fresh air) brief guide to Climate Week NYC
The People’s Climate March and UN climate summit are the most prominent events taking place in New York, but there are over 100 events planned as part of Climate Week NYC. Below are a few of our favorites - many of which will be livestreamed:

20 Sep - A global treaty: Why the US must lead

  • This panel discussion will focus on why the world needs an international climate treaty and why it is critical to mobilize support demanding that the US assume a leading role in the treaty negotiations.Panelists include Bill McKibben, founder of 350.org; Lester Brown, founder of the Earth Policy Institute and the Worldwatch Institute; and Mary Robinson, former President of Ireland and UN Special Envoy for Climate Change. Learn more here.

21-22 Sep - Social Good Summit

  • The Social Good Summit will unite a dynamic community of global leaders and grassroots activists to discuss solutions for the greatest challenges of our time. Our theme, #2030NOW, asks the question, “What type of world do I want to live in by the year 2030?”

21-22 Sep - Interfaith Summit on Climate Change

  • The World Council of Churches and Religions for Peace are organizing the Interfaith Summit on Climate Change in New York City. One of the objectives of this summit will be to convey the faith communities’ concerns and proposals to the Secretary General’s Climate Summit as part of long term efforts to influence the climate negotiations and the contributions countries bring to the table. Learn more here.

22-23 Sep - World Conference on Indigenous Peoples

  • The high-level plenary meeting of the United Nations General Assembly, to be known as the World Conference on Indigenous Peoples (WCIP) will assemble on September 22 and September 23 at the UN headquarters. By invitation only. Learn more here.

22 Sep - Women leading solutions on the frontlines of climate change

  • For this event, a group of women leaders will gather to speak out against environmentally and socially destructive activities and policies, and to present the diverse array of visions and strategies with which they are working to shape a health and equitable world. The WECAN Women’s Action Agenda will also be shared and discussed as a tool for systematic change. Learn more here.

22 Sep - Carbon supply cost curves: Evaluating coal capital expenditures report launch

  • Carbon Tracker Initiative and ETA will present the second report of the series “Carbon Supply Cost Curves” to investors, asset managers, investment bankers, analysts and coal companies representatives.Following on the heels of Carbon Tracker’s recent oil report, this study will be focused on the global coal sector. The release is by invitation only. Learn more here.

22 Sep - Island climate leadership: Driving clean energy transformation

  • This event will showcase examples of Small Island Developing States (SIDS)’ climate leadership in deploying renewable energy, reducing emissions, and enhancing energy security. It will also feature a panel discussion on past successes and future opportunities to stimulate further on-the-ground action. Learn more here.

22 Sep - Africa Climate Smart Agriculture Alliance

  • On the eve of the UN Climate Summit, the Africa Union Commission, the NEPAD Agency, and partner NGOs present a special event on Africa Climate Smart Agriculture Alliance. This offers an opportunity to network and share practical and innovative strategies and actions that support rural and farming communities in implementing climate smart agriculture practices in Africa. Learn more here.

22 Sep - Action in Climate Change and Health

  • Global Climate and Health Alliance, the American College of Sports Medicine, and Public Health Institute are co-hosting this event, where major health leaders including US Surgeon General Boris Lushniak and The Lancet’s Richard Horton will address the intersection of climate change and health, and offer a pathway towards a sustainable and healthy future. Learn more here.

22 Sep - New York and International Labor celebrates the People’s Climate March

  • The day after The People’s Climate March, union members and labor groups will gather in honor of those in New York and around the world who are leading the effort to build an international climate justice movement. Sponsored by 1199-SEIU, 32BJ-SEIU, NYSNA, and IBEW Local 3. Learn more here.

23 Sep - Global Climate Strategy Launch

  • On the day of the UN Climate Summit, Citizens’ Climate Lobby will be releasing a Global Strategy Whitepaper, and launching its effort to pull together a coalition of stakeholders, thought-leaders, businesses, nonprofits and governments, to achieve an economically efficient, value-building plan to price carbon and transition to climate-smart economic and investment policies. Learn more here.

24 Sep - The morning after: A civil society reportback

  • At this event, civil society leaders will report back from the UN Climate Summit on what they heard from our world leaders on the one hand, and, on the other, what they heard from the people these leaders represent. The meetup will be held on the second floor of the Church Center for United Nations (corner of First Avenue and 44th street) from 8:45 to 10:45am.

24 Sep - Global Canopy Program: approaches to help meet targets to reduce deforestation and associated emissions?

  • The Global Canopy Programme, Code REDD, IETA, NWF and UNEP Finance Initiative are holding a roundtable discussion focused on investment in REDD+ activities and new approaches to meet deforestation targets in the period to 2020. Learn more here.

25 Sep - Corporations leading climate resilience around the world

  • This event will explore what’s new in corporate adaptation, including global adaptation innovation and best practice. Learn more here.

There’s much more on the Climate Week website, and in our latest Friday Forecast.

Also on our radar:

Asia

  • Activists have launched an urgent appeal calling upon outgoing Indonesian President Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono to protect key forest area before he steps down.
  • India’s west coast city of Surat - a pioneer member of the Asian Cities Climate Change Resilience Network - is anticipating the worst effects of climate change, and preparing to cope.
  • Researchers with CDKN are drawing lessons from the tragic floods in Kashmir, and making the case for how to avoid mega floods becoming the ‘new normal’ in India.
The Americas
  • A coalition of major green groups, including the Environmental Defense Fund and the Natural Resources Defense Council, urged Obama in a letter to “swiftly” issue binding emission regulations on oil and gas production, the largest industrial source of methane.
  • NRDC is celebrating a move by the US government who this week convened industry leaders to pledge reductions in and replacements for HFCs (hydrofluorocarbons) ahead of the UN climate summit.
  • The internet cloud services of Amazon, who was singled out as a bad corporate actor in a Greenpeace report earlier this year, is about to get a even dirtier. Amazon’s newest server farm will be served by an electric utility with a history of lobbying for the coal industry.
  • Civil society groups in Mexico are grappling with a flood of fossil fuel energy projects threatening biodiversity and the way of life in the Veracruz region.
  • Peruvian authorities have pulled more human remains from a remote river in the Amazon, which may belong to one of the four murdered activists allegedly killed by loggers on September 1st.
Europe
  • The vast majority of €12 billion in EU allowances and transfers intended to tackle climate change and diversify the energy mix between 2013-19 will instead be spent on coal, according to a new report by WWF, CAN Europe and Greenpeace.
  • In related news, the coal sector is eying salvation in the green bonds market. Whether it’s possible or not will be addressed at an industry conference in Denmark next month.
  • New analysis from Sandbag warns that coal burning in Europe into the 2030s won’t be significantly constrained by the raft of EU legislation and the blocs Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS).
The Pacific
  • Our Australian partners pushing back against deep cuts to the country’s Renewable Energy Target aregetting traction - feeding hopes that the Abbot government will relent.
Global
  • A petition calling for 100% clean energy by 2050, launched by Avaaz ahead of the UN summit, has quickly hit 2 million signatories and continues to rise. Will they hit 3 million before next week’s UN Summit?
  • An international group of 160 environmental leaders issued a challenge to foundations and other charitable givers with combined holdings to divest from fossil fuels and free up billions of dollars to invest in clean energy.
  • CERES convened a group of hundreds of heavyweight investors representing some $24 trillion in assets, all asking for stronger political leadership and more ambitious policies to finance the transition to low-carbon and climate resilient economies around the world.
  • A new campaign challenging people to #walkthewalk on climate change ahead of the People’s Climate Mobilization this weekend picked up high profile support from Desmond Tutu and Christiana Figueres.
  • This week the International Declaration on the Future of the Arctic has reached a milestone of 1000 influential signatories from all walks of life and all corners of our planet.
  • Criminal deforestation is a growing threat to some of the worlds most important carbon sinks. According to a new report by Forest Trends, 49% of all recent tropical deforestation is the result of illegal clearing for commercial agriculture.
  • A group of palm oil and timber companies that pledged to eliminate deforestation from their supply chains have agreed to a process to define zero deforestation commitments as part of a civil society-spurred initiative.
  • Greenpeace is celebrating a move by the Forest Stewardship Council (FSC) who just agreed to protect the vast majority of the world’s Intact Forest Landscapes across FSC forests.
  • A new report on the social costs of carbon zeros in on climate-induced wildfires, estimating global losses rising to between $50-300 billion each year, by 2050.
  • Richard Branson’s failure to deliver on a much-vaunted pledge to spend US $3 billion on low carbon fuels has become a case study for why it’s unrealistic to rely on business to find solutions to climate change; in a new book on the subject by Naomi Klein.
  • In related news, efforts supported by Branson-led non-profit the Carbon War Room could lead to a five-fold increase in the number of sea ports using ship-evaluation systems to combat carbon emissions as momentum gathers to improve the industry’s fuel efficiency.
  • ChinaDialogue published the views of 6 prominent activists and scholars from around the world on how climate politics have changed since Copenhagen.
  • Alice Bell, writing for the Road to Paris blog, examines a spike in climate change optimism and asks whether we can be rationally hopeful about the environment.
OTHER NEWS THAT CAPTURED OUR ATTENTION
With record-warm August, scientists say world on track for record warm year
Just days after US scientists at NASA data showed that August 2014 was the warmest August on record, theNational Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration confirmed the ranking and raised the ante: there’s a good chance 2014 could become the warmest year on record.
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For the year-to-date, the globe has measured 1.22°F above the 20th century average of 57.3°F, which makes January-August 2014 the third warmest such period since records began in 1880. Climate Central is reportingthat if each of the remaining months of the year rank among the top five warmest, 2014 will beat out 2010 for the top spot.

With climate impacts on the rise, extreme weather displaced more people than war in 2013
Research by the Norwegian Refugee Council uncovered a troubling new trend - extreme weather displaced more people than war in 2013. ‘Mega disasters’ such as typhoons and hurricanes drove 22 million people from homes. Marshall Islands President Christopher Loeak highlighted the issue in a video address, standing in front of his ocean-threatened home before heading off to New York for the UN Climate Leaders Summit. According to Loeak, “The world has changed too much. The science is more alarming, the impacts more severe, the economics more compelling, and the politics more potent.”

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While somber, Loeak’s message was also one of hope and conviction: “To my fellow world leaders I say ‘next week’s Summit is a chance for all of us to be the leaders we were elected to be’…. Together, we must find the courage to rise to this challenge. It is time to build the greatest climate change alliance the world has ever seen.”

Trillions of dollars
The word ‘trillions’ was peppered across headlines this week, with a study out suggesting that more than US$100 trillion in cumulative public and private spending, and 1,700 megatons of annual carbon dioxide could be eliminated by 2050 if the world expands public transportation. The New Climate Economy report showed responding to climate change is both possible and profitable, if we’re able to point the US $90 trillion in expected infrastructure, agriculture and energy spending over the next 15 years toward low-carbon growth; our Tree Alerthas more on that. Pension funds and international organizations worth US $24 trillion say a global carbon price is vital to allow them to finance green growth. And new report from the IEA says we can effectively address climate change with an additional US $1 trillion per year in investment; roughly the equivalent to 1.3% of the world’s annual output of goods and services, or about $140 a person. Not acting on climate change is expected to incur global losses of US $1 trillion in sea level rise and flooding alone by 2050.

Also on our radar:
Policies and politics
  • RTCC has an update from the latest round of UNFCCC negotiations on supporting developing country’s who suffer from ‘Loss & Damage‘ due to climate change impacts. The meeting, which just wrapped in Bonn, delivered a 2-year work plan that covers a number of financial instruments that could affected communities.
  • Indonesian lawmakers have approved a pact for the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) to tackle smog pollution, becoming the grouping’s final member to sign up to the regional co-operation effort.
  • Peru has announced that renewable energy will provide 66% of the countries power by 2024. Peru currently sources 54 per cent of its energy from renewables - primarily hydro.
  • In addition to moves by the US to reduce HFCs announced Tuesday, the government delayed its process for enacting new pollution cuts for coal power plants and unveiled actions aimed at improving domestic energy efficiency and increasing the use of solar power in homes and businesses.
  • While the US state of California continues to struggle from unprecedented drought and heat, it hopes to get ahead of another climate change impacts by compiling the country’s most detailed database to help it predict and adapt to rising sea levels.
  • The Chinese President XI is set to visit the low lying island state of the Maldives where he will discuss how to work together to tackle climate change.
  • UK Prime Minister David Cameron came into power pledging to be the ‘greenest government ever;’ but according to the a cross-party Environmental Audit Committee, Cameron’s government is failing to reduce air pollution and prevent flooding.
  • The NYT posted a ground-breaking if incomplete piece on the global and spreading impacts of the German energiewende (energy transformation).
Climate impacts & extreme weather
  • Global flood events during August 2014 caused US $4 billion in economic damage and caused 478 deaths, according to the latest monthly summary from reinsurance intermediary Aon Benfield, the reinsurance intermediary
  • The drought in Sao Paulo has reached a critical level. In the latest warning from Brazil’s Public Ministry, reservoirs could run dry in the next 100 days. Scientists believe the drought is at least partly caused by deforestation which has led to the loss of billions of liters of water released as vapour clouds by Amazon rainforest trees.
  • Construction has started on a 1000 foot observation tower in the heart of the Brazilian Amazon to monitor further changes in the regions climate.
  • A new study on Asia’s monsoon - which is the world’s largest climatic system - predicts that rains will intensify as more CO2 is pumped into the atmosphere. In other parts of the world climate change is set to unleash a series of decades-long ‘megadroughts’ this century, according to new research.
  • A new report from Austrian says average temperatures in the country have risen by almost 2ºC since 1880; compared with a global rise of 0.85ºC in the same period.
  • Apparently all that excess CO2 is boosting the speed of tree growth - as much as 77% according to a new study.
Tracking the polluters
  • The world’s biggest exported of crude oil, Saudi Arabia, told OPEC that it cut production by 408,000 barrels a day in August amid signs of a supply surplus and dropping prices. Saudi Arabia will make further reductions if the price continues to drop.
  • Moscow has reduced its gas exports to Poland in an apparent attempt to prevent EU countries from re-exporting Russian gas to Ukraine. As part of the latest round of sanctions against Russia, the US government took aim at Exxon’s project in the Arctic Ocean, ordering American companies to cut off exports to Russian oil exploration within 14 days.
  • After its deadly and disastrous deepwater drilling failure in the US Golf of Mexico, BP plans to risk going even deeper to tap inaccessible oil reserves and profits.
  • New research confirms that US power plants remain an outsized contributor to the world’s carbon pollution. However, a study by the government’s watchdog agency has concluded that more coal plants will retire by 2025 than it previously thought.
  • Australian coal exporters are scrambling to clarify the fallout from changes to China’s coal import rules, which will limit the import of high sulphur and ash coal.
  • A Chinese-backed energy and trading hub taking shape in Western Myanmar is rapidly growing to meet China’s energy needs; and threatening villagers livelihoods in the process.
  • Electricity shortages and grid inefficiencies in the Philippines are being leveraged by the coal industry tofast-track the approval and construction of new coal power plants.
  • And a study from the US Geological Survey found a “direct link” between the injection of fracking wastewater into the ground and earthquakes.
Business and technology
  • A new report from CDP - an environmental organization that gathers information on behalf of investor - shows that large global companies are ready for a price on carbon. Government support to bolster the pricing of carbon is expected at next week’s UN summit.
  • Analysis by the financial times shows that large wind farms and solar plants are now cost-competitive with gas-fired power in many parts of the US even without subsidy raising the prospect of a fundamental shift in the country’s energy market.
  • French investment bank Kepler Chevreux just published analysis showing that $100 billion invested in either wind energy or solar energy will produce significantly more energy than that same $100 billion invested in oil.
  • Global offshore wind power is set to grow from 7.1 gigawatts in 2013 to 39.9 gigawatts by 2020, according to research firm GlobalData.
  • Japan is about to have the world’s largest floating solar power plant, signalling increasing adoption of the efficient and innovative technology in Japan, which is due partly to lack of space on land.
  • Germany opened the largest commercial battery plant in Europe on Tuesday and the new installation will help stabilise the region’s renewable energy supply.
  • Researchers have developed a new method for mapping global carbon emissions for individual cities on an hourly basis — a major improvement over previous techniques, which quantified greenhouse emissions less accurately and at coarser scales.
  • And a round 40 million viewers tuned in to inaugural Formula E race - the world’s first all-electric Grand Prix.
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About The Author

Joshua Wiese

Joshua is Director of the GCCA's Adopt a Negotiator project, helping activists track the roles their governments play in national and international climate action. He also publishes the Fresh Air Brief - a weekly intelligence update for bloggers and activists interested in international climate and energy issues.

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